ASTL Company Profile and Key Details

Algoma Steel Group Inc. has 105.66 million shares outstanding. The public float is 70.51 million shares, elevated short interest at 5.05% of float. This equals 3.98 million shares. The short ratio is 2.74 days. Institutional investors hold 73.62% of the float. Insiders own 5.04%.

Algoma Steel Group Inc. last paid a dividend of 0 per share, Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around $2.64. This means the shares are trading above this model’s fair value.

Algoma Steel Group Inc. generated EPS of -$4.84 over the past year. Five-year average earnings growth is -10.89%. Algoma Steel Group Inc. earnings surprise history is a mixed track record. The quarter that ended July 29, 2026, missed forecasts by 35.9%. The prior quarter beat by 35.9%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include -117.14% in October 29, 2025.

Short-term trend indicators are mixed aligned (SMA20 2.42%, SMA50 7.22%, SMA200 -1.97%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 53.15 (neutral), while the ATR of 0.34 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains hovering near 52-week lows, trading -36.67% below its high and over 57.28% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 790.29 thousand shares is below the 3-month average of 1.06 million, indicating normal recent market interest.

Algoma Steel Group Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTL) closed at $4.25 USD, losing -$0.17 (-3.85%) from the previous close of $4.42. The stock is currently mid-range between its 52-week high and low $3.02 and $5.90. With a market capitalization of about $447.90 million, Algoma Steel Group Inc. is classified as a small-cap and shows higher-than-market volatility (beta ~1.64). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 1.09 million shares, volume is running light vs its 52-week average. Headquartered in Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Algoma Steel Group Inc. operates in the Basic Materials sector and the Steel industry. Led by CEO Rajat Marwah, the company employs approximately 2,400 people and listed since March 04, 2021. Algoma Steel Group Inc. operates as a key North American producer and distributor of steel products.

Algoma Steel Group Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of -0.58, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 0.41 and a price-to-book ratio of 2.2 suggesting the stock is closer to book value. The P/FCF stands at -1.71, also below market averages.

Algoma Steel Group Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTL) shares are flat -1.22% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been positive over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows Algoma Steel Group Inc. trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of -0.58. Analyst sentiment is bullish, with the majority of ratings in Outperform territory and a mean price target of $14.62, suggesting 244.0% upside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term strength (2.12% over two weeks), a medium-term rise (54.35% over three months), and a longer-term gain (167.76% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that Algoma Steel Group Inc. stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected increase of 2.12%, with price expected at $4.34 by October 02, 2026, within a range of $4.08 to $4.57 3-Month Outlook: Projected rise of 54.35%, reaching $6.56 by December 17, 2026, with a range of $5.88 to $7.03. 1-Year Outlook: Projected gain of 167.76%, with price at $11.38 by September 17, 2027, within a range of $0.00 to $16.64.