AMSF Company Profile and Key Details

AMERISAFE, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMSF) closed at $24.66 USD, losing -$0.14 (-0.56%) from the previous close of $24.80. The stock is currently within 5% of its 52-week low $24.17 and $45.47. With a market capitalization of about $461.23 million, AMERISAFE, Inc. is classified as a small-cap and shows lower-than-market volatility (beta ~0.26). Key stats such as the average daily volume over the past year has been around 320.72 thousand shares, trading with heavier-than-usual volume. Headquartered in Deridder, LA, AMERISAFE, Inc. operates in the Financial Services sector and the Insurance - Specialty industry. Led by CEO Gerry Janelle Frost, the company employs approximately 362 people and listed since November 18, 2005. Operating as an insurance holding company, AMERISAFE, Inc. specializes in providing workers' compensation coverage across the United States.

AMSF has shown mixed momentum, losing -1.05% over the past week and -6.09% over the past quarter, though year-to-date performance is down -2.32%. Short-term trend indicators are bullishly aligned (SMA20 -11.09%, SMA50 -11.52%, SMA200 -18.75%). The stock’s 14-day RSI is 24.41 (weak momentum), while the ATR of 1.08 points to higher daily volatility. The stock remains hovering near 52-week lows, trading -35.21% below its high and over -7.18% above its low. Average 10-day trading volume of 464.33 thousand shares is slightly above the 3-month average of 323.05 thousand, indicating heightened recent market interest.

AMERISAFE, Inc. last paid a dividend of 2.6 per share, this equals a trailing yield of roughly 2.92%. Dividend and splits history remains an important factor for investors monitoring long-term returns. A discounted cash flow model estimates fair value at around $35.83. This means the shares are trading below this model’s fair value.

AMERISAFE, Inc. generated EPS of $2.61 over the past year. Five-year average earnings growth is -9.61%. The latest quarter delivered EPS of $0.44. The next quarter is forecast at $0.54. Next year's EPS is expected at -$10.33. Analyst sentiment is neutral. Analyst rating data shows there are 3 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy ratings, 3 Hold ratings, 0 Sell rating and 0 Strong Sell ratings. Price targets range from $60.00 to $32.00. The high target offers 143.31% upside. The low target suggests 29.76% downside. The mean target is $45.17. This offers 83.17% upside. AMERISAFE, Inc. earnings surprise history is a mixed track record. The quarter that ended July 21, 2026, missed forecasts by -14.89%. The prior quarter beat by -3.85%. Over the last six quarters, Apple has recorded several small beats. These include 1.69% in April 29, 2025.

AMERISAFE, Inc. has 18.54 million shares outstanding. The public float is 18.14 million shares, elevated short interest at 5.96% of float. This equals 909.63 thousand shares. The short ratio is 2.21 days. Institutional investors hold 102.58% of the float. Insiders own 2.05%. BRADLEY C ALLEN JR holds 117.43 thousand shares, Frost G. Janelle has 80.85 thousand shares and MORRIS JARED A has 60.32 thousand shares.

AMERISAFE, Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 9.74, slightly below the S&P 500 average, with a price-to-sales ratio of 1.36 and a price-to-book ratio of 1.82 suggesting the stock is closer to book value. The P/FCF stands at 23.59, also below market averages.

AMERISAFE, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMSF) shares are flat -2.32% year-to-date currently trading near 52-week highs band. Short-term momentum has been negative over the last quarter, despite recent volatility. Valuation shows AMERISAFE, Inc. trading at a premium to the broader market with a P/E of 9.74. Analyst sentiment is mixed, with the majority of ratings in Hold territory and a mean price target of $41.27, suggesting 67.36% upside. Our AI forecast model points to short-term weakness (-2.03% over two weeks), a medium-term fall (-28.51% over three months), and a longer-term loss (-23.44% over one year), with expected trading ranges indicating moderate volatility.

Our AI price prediction model suggests that AMERISAFE, Inc. stock has strong potential for upside but may face short-term weakness followed by gains in the medium and long term. 2-Week Outlook: Projected decline of -2.03%, with price expected at $24.16 by September 24, 2026, within a range of $23.50 to $24.80 3-Month Outlook: Projected fall of -28.51%, reaching $17.63 by December 09, 2026, with a range of $16.05 to $18.70. 1-Year Outlook: Projected loss of -23.44%, with price at $18.88 by September 10, 2027, within a range of $17.47 to $20.64.